India is the second-largest producer of coal and crude steel in the world and also the fourth-largest iron ore producer in the world.
Advantage India
Demand
Growth
* Being the third largest energy consuming country in the world, there is always increased demand for power and electricity in the country, and hence the surge in demand for coal.
* Demand for steel is likely to grow by ~10% as the government’s augmented focus on infrastructural development continues with increased construction of roads, railways, airports, etc.
* India has set the targets of achieving a total crude steel capacity of 300 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) and total crude steel demand/production of 255 MTPA by 2030-31.
Attractive
Opportunities
* By becoming Aatmanirbhar in producing speciality steel, India will move up the steel value chain and come at par with advanced steel making countries like Korea and Japan.
* Under PLI Scheme for Specialty Steel, 67 applications from 30 companies have been selected that will attract committed investment of Rs. 42,500 Crore (US$ 5.1 billion) with a downstream capacity addition of 26 million tonne and employment generation potential of 70,000.
Policy
Support
* Enactment of Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation) Amendment Act, 2021 enabled captive mines owners (other than atomic minerals) to sell up to 50% of their annual mineral (including coal) production in the open market.
* Ministry of Mines announced the National Mineral Policy 2019 in March, 2019 which replaced the National Mineral Policy 2008. This policy allows State Governments to take advance action for auction of mineral blocks before the expiry of lease period
Competitive
Advantage
* India holds a fair advantage in cost of production and conversion costs in steel and alumina.
* As of FY22, the number of reporting mines in India were estimated at 1,319, of which reporting mines for metallic minerals were estimated at 545 and non-metallic minerals at 775.
* India is the second-largest crude steel producer in the world.
India holds a fair advantage in production and conversion costs in steel and alumina. Its strategic location enables export opportunities to develop as well as fast-developing Asian markets. As of FY22, the number of reporting mines in India were estimated at 1,425, of which reporting mines for metallic minerals were estimated at 525 and non-metallic minerals at 720.
Minerals are precious natural resources that serve as essential raw materials for fundamental industries, so the growth of the mining industry is essential for the overall industrial development of a nation. The vast resources of numerous metallic and non-metallic minerals that India is endowed with serve as a foundation for the expansion and advancement of the nation's mining industry. India is largely self-sufficient in metallic minerals including bauxite, chromites, iron ore, and lignite as well as mineral fuels like coal and lignite. The industry has the potential to significantly impact GDP growth, foreign exchange earnings, and give end-use industries like building, infrastructure, automotive, and electricity, among others, a competitive edge by obtaining essential raw materials at reasonable rates.
Rise in infrastructure development and automotive production are driving growth. Power and cement industries are also aiding growth for the sector. Demand for iron and steel is set to continue given the strong growth expectations for the residential and commercial building industry.
Market Size
Production level of important minerals in September 2023 were: Coal 673 lakh tonnes, Lignite 29 lakh tonnes, Natural gas (utilised) 2,975 million cu. m., Petroleum (crude) 24 lakh tonnes, Bauxite 1,726 thousand tonnes, Chromite 117 thousand tonnes, Copper conc. 10 thousand tonnes, Gold 113 kg, Iron ore 195 lakh tonnes, Lead conc. 29 thousand tonnes, Manganese ore 247 thousand tonnes, Zinc conc. 134 thousand tonnes, Limestone 347 lakh tonnes, Phosphorite 88 thousand tonnes, and Magnesite 09 thousand tonnes.
Important minerals showing positive growth during September 2023 over September 2022 include Manganese Ore (51.5%), Gold (22.8%), Iron Ore (17%), Coal (16%), Limestone (13.7%), Natural gas (U) (6.6%), Lignite (6.2%) Bauxite (3.5%), Zinc Conc. (1.6%), Chromite (1.6%), Copper Conc. (0.2%).
India's overall coal production has seen a quantum jump to 893.08 MT in FY23 as compared to 728.72 MT in FY19 with a growth of about 22.6%.
In April-November 2023, the coal production stood at 591.28 MT, registering a growth of 12.73% from the same period last year.
In April-November 2023, the production of crude steel stood at 93.87 MT and that of finished steel was 88.81 MT.
In FY23, production of crude steel at 125.32 million tonnes (MT), finished steel at 121.29 MT and consumption of finished steel at 119.17 MT has exceeded their respective levels achieved over the corresponding period of not only COVID affected last two years but also pre COVID years as well.
India's iron ore production is estimated to stand at 257.85 MT in FY23, while it stood at 250 MT in FY22 - a sharp increase of 23% compared with 204 MT in FY21.
In 2022-23, exports of iron ore stood at US$ 1.75 billion as compared to US$ 3.18 billion in 2021-22.
India's overall coal production has seen a quantum jump to 893.08 MT in FY23 as compared to 728.72 MT in FY19 with a growth of about 22.6%.
The production of aluminum was 35.03 lakh tonnes in FY23.
The index of mineral production of the mining and quarrying sector for the month of September 2023 at 111.5, was 11.5% higher compared to the level in the month of September 2022.
The index of mineral production of mining and quarrying sector for the month of January, 2023 (Base: 2011-12=100) at 135.9, is 8.8% higher as compared to the level in the month of January, 2022. As per the provisional figures of Indian Bureau of Mines (IBM), the cumulative growth for the period April- January, 2022-23 over the corresponding period of previous year is 5.8%.
In FY23, mineral production is estimated at Rs.118,246 crore (US$ 14.37 billion). In FY22, mineral production was estimated at Rs.190,392 crore (US$ 24.95 billion). India ranks fourth globally in terms of iron ore production. Production of iron ore in FY21 stood at 204.48 million tonnes. From April 2021- January 2022, iron ore production in India stood at 204 million tonnes (MT). In FY20, India had a total number of 878 steel plants producing crude steel. India’s crude steel production stood at 71.3 MT in FY23 (until October 2022). The steel production in India is projected to increase by 18% to reach 120 million tonnes (MT) by FY22. In Q3 FY22, production of hot metal, crude steel and saleable steel by SAIL stood at 1.55 MT, 1.44 MT and 1.46 MT, respectively. Combined Aluminium production (primary and secondary) in India stood at 4.1 MT per annum in FY21 becoming the 2nd largest in the world. Aluminium production stood at 3,285,186 tonnes between April 2020 and January 2021. India is the world's second-largest coal producer as of 2021.
The US Geological Survey noted that world aluminum output increased slightly in 2022, coming in at 69 million metric tons (MMT) compared to 67.5 million MMT the previous year.
Investments/ Developments
Some of the investments/ developments in the Metals & Mining sector in the recent past are as follows:
As per data from the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MOSPI), India's mining GDP increased from Rs. 647.73 billion (US$ 7.91 billion) in the second quarter of FY23 to Rs. 712.29 billion (US$ 8.56 billion) in the second quarter of FY24.
The index of mineral production of mining and quarrying sector for the month of December 2022 stood at 107.4, 9.8% higher as compared to the level in the month of December 2021.
In FY24 (until October 2023), the combined index of eight core industries stood at 154.6 driven by the production of coal, refinery products, fertilizers, steel, electricity and cement industries.
Between April 2000-September 2023, FDI inflows in the metallurgical industry stood at US$ 17.40 billion, followed by the mining (US$ 3.49 billion), diamond & gold ornaments (US$ 1.26 billion), and coal production (US$ 27.73 million) industries.
On August 3, 2023, the Rajya Sabha passed the Offshore Areas Mineral (Development and Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2023 which seeks to make amendments to the Offshore Areas Mineral (Development and Regulation) Act, 2002 (‘OAMDR Act’). The Bill was passed by Lok Sabha on August 1, 2023.
In July 2023, the Union Cabinet approved amendments to the Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation) Act-1957 to allow the mining of lithium and other minerals.
Coal production from captive mines increased by 18.67% y-o-y in FY24 (April- September 2023) and contributed 14.96% to the total coal production.
In February 2023, Tata Steel and Central Building Research Institute (CBRI), a constituent of the Council of Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR), signed an MoU to collaborate on research, academic growth, and sustainable solutions in mining.
In February 2023, ArcelorMittal - Nippon Steel is investing Rs. 60,000 crore (US$ 7.3 billion) to expand its steelmaking capacity in Hazira to 15MT a year from 9MT.
In February 2023, NMDC signed an agreement for collaborative research with CSIR-IMMT, Bhubaneswar on “Feasibility Studies for Preparation of Fused Magnesia from Kimberlite Tailings” at its Head Office in Hyderabad.
In November 2022, IIT Bombay and JSW Group entered into an exclusive strategic agreement to establish first-of-its-kind, state-of-the-art JSW Technology Hub in India for steel manufacturing in India.
In August 2022, Tata Steel signed a MoU with the Government of Punjab for setting up a 0.75 MnTPA long products steel plant with a scrap-based electric arc furnace.
In July 2022, Hindalco Industries Limited has signed an MoU with Phinergy and IOC Phinergy Private Limited (IOP) on R&D and pilot production of aluminium plates for Aluminium-Air batteries, and recycling of aluminium, after usage in these batteries.
In October 2022, Coal India Limited (CIL) signed a MoU with Rajasthan Rajya Vidyut Utpadan Nigam Limited (RVUNL), for setting up 1,190 MW solar power project.
In January 2023, Vedanta announced that its board had approved the sale of its international zinc assets in South Africa and Namibia to subsidiary Hindustan Zinc (HZL) for US$ 2.98 billion.
In March 2022, MOU with detailed collaborative framework was between KABIL, India and Critical Mineral Office (CMO), Department of Industry, Science and Resources (DISER), Govt. of Australia for carrying out joint due diligence and further joint investment in Li & Co mineral assets of Australia.
In February 2023, JSW Group announced to build a steel plant in Andhra Pradesh's YSR Kadapa district with an investment of Rs. 8,800 crore (US$ 1 billion).
In 2021, an Indian state committee recommended the expansion of Vedanta Ltd’s Lanjigarh Alumina refinery from 1 million tonnes to 6 million tonnes, an investment that would cost the company Rs. 64.83 billion (US$ 993 million).
In February 2023, Essar Capital Limited, investment manager of Essar Global Fund Limited, announced to set up steel plants in Odisha and a facility to import liquefied natural gas (LNG) at Hazira in Gujarat.
On 2nd September 2022, Steel Authority of India Ltd. (SAIL) has supplied about 30000 tonnes of the specialty steel for nation’s first indigenously built Aircraft Carrier INS Vikrant for Indian Navy which commissioned at Cochin Shipyard Ltd.
Innovative mineral exploration activities using state-of-the-art technology by Geological Survey of India (GSI), stepped up efforts by Khanij Bidesh India Limited (KABIL) to source strategic minerals from countries like Australia, Argentina and Chile.
Three Indian state-run companies, National Aluminium Co Ltd, Hindustan Copper Ltd and Mineral Exploration Corp formed a joint venture to buy mining assets overseas that have minerals such as lithium and cobalt, which are used in the manufacture of batteries for electric vehicles.
Production of metallic minerals in the country increased from US$ 6.96 billion in FY18 to US$ 12.88 billion in FY23P. In the same period, production of non-metallic minerals increased from US$ 1.16 billion in FY18 to US$ 1.48 billion in FY23P.
India's iron ore production stood at 257.85 MT in FY23, an increase of 1.52% compared with 253.97 MT in FY22.
ICRA has estimated the domestic aluminium demand growth to remain healthy at around 9% in the next two fiscal years, given the Government’s thrust on infrastructure development.
The index of mineral production of mining and quarrying sector for the month of September 2022 stood at 99.5.
Between April 2000-June 2022, FDI inflows in the metallurgical industry stood at US$ 17.07 billion, followed by the mining (US$ 3.40 billion), diamond & gold ornaments (US$ 1.21 billion) and coal production (US$ 27.73 million) industries.
GVA from mining and quarrying stood at US$ 43.3 billion in FY22, as per the advance estimates
In FY23, Vedanta's aluminium division will focus on backward integration and will put two of its mines in Odisha into production.
Iron and steel imports stood at US$ 1,991.41 million in October 2022.
In FY23 (until September 2022), the combined index of eight core industries stood at 142.8 driven by the production of coal, refinery products, fertilizers, steel, electricity and cement industries.
NMDC’s cumulative iron ore production (until May 2022) stood at 6.35 MT as compared to 5.91 MT (until May 2021)
As of October 2023, India’s total installed electricity generation capacity stood at 425.35 GW.
In 2021-22, India’s iron and steel export was valued at US$ 17.62 billion. During FY16-22, India’s export of iron and steel grew at a CAGR of 17.15%.
In November 2021, JSW Steel announced that the company registered a 6% YoY surge in crude steel production at 1.42 million tonnes in October 2021.
In November 2021, AMNS India announced that it is planning to manufacture specialty steel under the production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme.
Vedanta Limited is planning a US$ 20 billion investment across its operations, including increase silver production and steel capacity.
In June 2021, Mr. T.V. Narendran, the CII President and Managing Director of Tata Steel, stated that steel firms have firmed up plans to invest ~Rs. 60,000 crore (US$ 8 billion) over the next three years in this sector.
In May 2021, Vedanta Ltd. announced its plan to invest Rs.10,000 crore (US$ 1.34 billion) in setting up an aluminium park in Odisha to facilitate companies that use metal to set up their manufacturing units in the facility.
In May 2021, ArcelorMittal Nippon Steel (AMNS) signed a contract with Total (a France-based energy company) for supply of up to 500,000 tons of liquefied natural gas (LNG) per year until 2026.
In February 2021, ArcelorMittal-Nippon Steel India, in agreement with the Odisha government, has planned to set up an integrated steel plant (with 12 MT capacity) in the state’s Kendrapada district for Rs. 50,000 crore (US$ 6.89 billion)
In February 2021, two new iron ore mines were inaugurated in Odisha, with a production capacity of 15 lakh tonnes per month and ~275 million tonnes of consolidated iron ore reserves. These mines will bring in ~Rs. 5000 crore (US$ 679.28 million) in annual revenue for the state and employment opportunities for locals.
Government Initiatives
The Government of India has adopted few initiatives in the recent past, some of these are as follows:
The government plans to monetize assets worth Rs. 28,727 crore (US$ 3.68 billion) in the mining sector over 2022-25.
In 2022, PLI Scheme for domestic production of specialty steel has been approved with an outlay of Rs.6,322 crore (US$ 762.4 million) by the Cabinet.
Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation) Amendment Act, 2021, notified on 28.03.2021, for giving boost to mineral production, improving ease of doing business in the country and increasing contribution of mineral production to GDP.
Enactment of Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation) Amendment Act, 2021 enabled captive mines owners (other than atomic minerals) to sell up to 50% of their annual mineral (including coal) production in the open market.
Import duty on Anthracite/Pulverized Coal Injection (PCI) coal, Coke and Semi-coke and Ferro-Nickel were reduced to zero.
Export duty on Iron ores/ concentrates and iron ore pellets was raised to 50% and 45% respectively.
In addition, 15% export duty was imposed on pig iron and several steel products.
District Mineral Foundation (DMF) has been established in 622 districts of 23 States and a total of Rs. 71,128.71 Crore (US$ 8.5 billion) has been collected till October 2022 under DMF.
In November 2022, the government removed export duties on steel and stainless steel to strengthen the nation's steel sector, and allow it to firmly establish its position in the global market.
The government plans to monetise assets worth Rs. 28,727 crore (US$ 3.68 billion) in the mining sector over 2022-25.
The Ministry of Mines of the Government of India has signed MoUs with different nations.
The Ministry of Mines notified the Mineral Conservation and Development (Amendment) Rules in November 2021 to provide rules regarding conservation of minerals, systematic and scientific mining, and development of minerals in the country for environment protection.
Steel Authority of India Ltd. (SAIL) and Central Public Sector Enterprises (CPSEs), under the Ministry of Steel, supplied 48,200 tonnes of steel for the Purvanchal Expressway, which was inaugurated by Prime Minister Narendra Modi on November 16, 2021.
As part of unlocking India’s vast mineral potential by exploration this year, the Ministry of Mines has handed over 152 mineral block reports to different state governments until November 2021. Also, 52 potential G-4 mineral blocks approved by the Geological Survey of India (GSI) have been handed over to 15 state governments.
In July 2021, the Odisha government approved five key industrial projects worth Rs. 1.46 lakh crore (US$ 19.60 billion) that are expected to boost capacity of steel production by 27.5 million tonnes.
In June 2021, the Union Cabinet, chaired by the Prime Minister Mr. Narendra Modi approved the memorandum of understanding (MoU) to be signed between the Ministry of Mines and the Secretariat of Mining Policy of the Ministry of Productive Development of the Argentine Republic. The MoU will provide an institutional mechanism for cooperation in the field of mineral resources.
In Union Budget 2021, the government reduced customs duty to 7.5% on semis, flat and long products of non-alloy, alloy and stainless steels to provide relief to MSMEs.
To boost recycling of copper in India, the government announced reduction of import duty on copper scrap from 5% to 2.5% in the Union Budget 2021.
The National Steel Policy aims to boost per capita steel consumption to 160 kgs by 2030-31. The government has a fixed objective of increasing rural consumption of steel from the current 19.6 kgs per capita to 38 kgs per capita by 2030-31.
Road Ahead
There is a significant scope for new mining capacities in iron ore, bauxite and coal and considerable opportunities for future discoveries of sub-surface deposits. Infrastructure projects continue to provide lucrative business opportunities for steel, zinc, and aluminium producers. Iron and steel make up a core component for the real estate sector. Demand for these metals is set to continue given strong growth expectations for the residential and commercial building industry.
The Government of India has also helped in the development of the metals and mining sector in India by launching key policy initiatives. The National Mineral Policy, which was approved by the government in February 2019, has ensured improved regulation and enforcement, more transparency, balanced social and economic growth, and sustainable mining techniques. The policy grants industry status to the mining activities and boost private sector funding.
Additionally, it aims to facilitate the merger and acquisition of mining companies, entice private sector involvement in exploration, and permit the transfer of mineral corridors created specifically for metals and mining leases. In the future, both increased domestic demand and exports are projected to play significant roles in driving the industry's expansion and its contribution to GDP growth in a post-covid environment.
References: Media Reports, Press Information Bureau (PIB), Union Budget 2020-21
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